Iterating the logistic map: limsup of nonperiodic orbits

Last time we found that when a sequence with {x_1\in (0,1)} and {x_{n+1} = 4x_n(1-x_n)} does not become periodic, its upper limit {\limsup x_n} must be at least {\approx 0.925}. This time we’ll see that {\limsup x_n} can be as low as {(2+\sqrt{3})/4\approx 0.933} and determine for which {x_1} it is equal to 1.

The quadratic polynomial {f(x)=4x(1-x)} maps the interval {[0,1]} onto itself. Since the linear function {g(x) = 1-2x} maps {[0,1]} onto {[-1,1]}, it follows that the composition {h=g\circ f\circ g^{-1}} maps {[-1,1]} onto {[-1,1]}. This composition is easy to compute: {h(x) = 2x^2-1 }.

We want to know whether the iteration of {f}, starting from {x_1}, produces numbers arbitrarily close to {1}. Since {f\circ f \circ \cdots \circ f = g^{-1}\circ h \circ h \circ \cdots \circ h\circ g} the goal is equivalent to finding whether the iteration of {h}, starting from {g(x_1)}, produces numbers arbitrarily close to {g(1) = -1}. To shorten formulas, let’s write {h_n} for the {n}th iterate of {h}, for example, {h_3 = h\circ h\circ h}.

So far we traded one quadratic polynomial {f} for another, {h}. But {h} satisfies a nice identity: {h(\cos t)=2\cos^2 t-1 = \cos(2t)}, hence {h_n(\cos t) = \cos (2^n t)} for all {n\in\mathbb N}. It’s convenient to introduce {\alpha = \frac{1}{\pi}\cos^{-1}(1-2x_1)}, so that { h_n(g(x_1)) = h_n(\cos 2\pi \alpha ) = \cos(2^n\cdot 2\pi \alpha) }.

The problem becomes to determine whether the numbers {2^n\cdot 2\pi \alpha} come arbitrarily close to {\pi}, modulo an integer multiple of {2\pi}. Dividing by {2\pi} rephrases this as: does the fractional part of {2^n \alpha} come arbitrarily close to {1/2}?

A number that is close to {1/2} has the binary expansion beginning either with {0.01111111\dots} or with {0.10000000\dots}. Since the binary expansion of {2^n\alpha} is just the binary expansion of {\alpha} shifted {n} digits to the left, the property {\limsup x_n=1} is equivalent to the following: for every {k\in\mathbb N} the binary expansion of {\alpha} has infinitely many groups of the form “1 followed by k zeros” or “0 followed by k ones”.

A periodic expansion cannot have the above property; this, {\alpha} must be irrational. The property described above can then be simplified to “irrational and has arbitrarily long runs of the same digit”, since a long run of {0}s will be preceded by a {1}, and vice versa.

For example, combining the pairs 01 and 10 in some non-periodic way, we get an irrational number {\alpha} such that the fractional part of {2^n\alpha} does not get any closer to 1/2 than {0.01\overline{10}_2 = 5/12} or {0.10\overline{01}_2 = 7/12}. Hence, {\cos 2^n 2\pi \alpha \ge -\sqrt{3}/2}, which leads to the upper bound {x_n\le (2+\sqrt{3})/4\approx 0.933} for the sequence with the starting value {x_1=(1-\cos\pi\alpha)/2}.

Let us summarize the above observations about {\limsup x_n}.

Theorem: {\limsup x_n=1} if and only if (A) the number {\alpha = \frac{1}{\pi}\cos^{-1}(1-2x_1)} is irrational, and (B) the binary expansion of {\alpha} has arbitrarily long runs of the same digit.

Intuitively, one expects that a number that satisfies (A) will also satisfy (B) unless it was constructed specifically to fail (B). But to verify that (B) holds for a given number is not an easy task.

As a bonus, let’s prove that for every rational number {y\in (-1,1)}, except 0, 1/2 and -1/2, the number {\alpha = \frac{1}{\pi}\cos^{-1}y} is irrational. This will imply, in particular, that {x_1=1/3} yields a non-periodic sequence. The proof follows a post by Robert Israel and requires a lemma (which could be replaced with an appeal to Chebyshev polynomials, but the lemma keeps things self-contained).

Lemma. For every {n\in \mathbb N} there exists a monic polynomial {P_n} with integer coefficients such that {P_n(2 \cos t) = 2\cos nt } for all {t}.

Proof. Induction, the base case {n=1} being {P_1(x)=x}. Assuming the result for integers {\le n}, we have {2 \cos (n+1)t = e^{i(n+1)t} + e^{-i(n+1)t} } {  = (e^{int} + e^{-int})(e^{it} + e^{-it}) - (e^{i(n-1)t} + e^{-i(n-1)t}) } { = P_n(2 \cos t) (2\cos t) - P_{n-1}(2\cos t) }
which is a monic polynomial of {2\cos t}. {\Box}

Suppose that there exists {n} such that {n\alpha \in\mathbb Z}. Then {2\cos(\pi n\alpha)=\pm 2}. By the lemma, this implies {P_n(2\cos(\pi \alpha)) =\pm 2}, that is {P_n(2y)=\pm 2}. Since {2y} is a rational root of a monic polynomial with integer coefficients, the Rational Root Theorem implies that it is an integer. {\Box}

A limsup exercise: iterating the logistic map

Define the sequence {\{x_n\}} as follows: {x_1=1/3} and {x_{n+1} = 4x_n(1-x_n)} for {n=1,2,\dots}. What can we say about its behavior as {n\rightarrow\infty}?

The logistic map {f(x)=4x(1-x)} leaves the interval [0,1] invariant (as a set), so {0\le x_n\le 1} for all {n}. There are two fixed points: 0 and 3/4.

f2
Two fixed points of the logistic map: 0 and 3/4

Can {x_n} ever be 0? If {n} is the first index this happens, then {x_{n-1}} must be {1}. Working backwards, we find {x_{n-2}=1/2}, and {x_{n-3}\in \{1/2 \pm \sqrt{2}/4\}}. But this is impossible since all elements of the sequence are rational. Similarly, if {n} is the first index when {x_n = 3/4}, then {x_{n-1}=1/4} and {x_{n-2}\in \{1/2\pm \sqrt{3}/4\}}, a contradiction again. Thus, the sequence never stabilizes.

If {x_n} had a limit, it would have to be one of the two fixed points. But both are repelling: {f'(x) = 4 - 8x}, so {|f'(0)|=4>1 } and {|f'(3/4)| = 2 > 1}. This means that a small nonzero distance to a fixed point will increase under iteration. The only way to converge to a repelling fixed point is to hit it directly, but we already know this does not happen. So the sequence {\{x_n\}} does not converge.


But we can still consider its upper and lower limits. Let’s try to estimate {S = \limsup x_n} from below. Since {f(x)\ge x} for {x\in [0,3/4]}, the sequence {\{x_n\}} increases as long as {x_n\le 3/4}. Since we know it doesn’t have a limit, it must eventually break this pattern, and therefore exceed 3/4. Thus, {S\ge 3/4}.

This can be improved. The second iterate {f_2(x)=f(f(x))} satisfies {f_2(x)\ge x} for {x} between {3/4} and {a = (5+\sqrt{5})/8 \approx 0.9}. So, once {x_n>3/4} (which, by above, happens infinitely often), the subsequence {x_n, x_{n+2}, x_{n+4},\dots} increases until it reaches {a}. Hence {S\ge a}.

The bound {\limsup x_n\ge a} is best possible if the only information about {x_1} is that the sequence {x_n} does not converge. Indeed, {a} is a periodic point of {f}, with the corresponding iteration sequence {\{(5+ (-1)^n\sqrt{5})/8\}}.

Further improvement is possible if we recall that our sequence is rational and hence cannot hit {a} exactly. By doubling the number of iterations (so that the iterate also fixes {a} but also has positive derivative there) we arrive at the fourth iterate {f_4}. Then {f_4(x)\ge x} for {a\le x\le b}, where {b } is the next root of {f_4(x)-x} after {a}, approximately {0.925}. Hence {S\ge b}.

iterate
Stacking the iterates

This is a colorful illustration of the estimation process (made with Sage): we are covering the line {y=x} with the iterates of {f}, so that each subsequent one rises above the line the moment the previous one falls. This improves the lower bound on {S} from 0.75 to 0.9 to 0.92.

Although this process can be continued, the gains diminish so rapidly that it seems unlikely one can get to 1 in this way. In fact, one cannot because we are not using any properties of {x_1} other than “the sequence {x_n} is not periodic.” And it’s not true that {\limsup x_n = 1} for every non-periodic orbit of {f}. Let’s return to this later.

Alternating lacunary series and 1-1+1-1+1-1+…

The series {1-1+1-1+1-1+\cdots} diverges. A common way to make it convergent is to replace each {1} with a power of {x}; the new series will converge when {|x|<1} and maybe its sum will have a limit as {x\rightarrow 1}. And indeed,

\displaystyle    x-x^2+x^3-x^4+x^5-x^6+\cdots = \frac{x}{1+x}

which tends to {1/2} as {x} approaches {1} from the left.

x/(1+x) has limit 1/2
x/(1+x) has limit 1/2

Things get more interesting if instead of consecutive integers as exponents, we use consecutive powers of {2}:

\displaystyle    f(x) = x-x^2+x^4-x^8+x^{16} -x^{32} +\cdots

On most of the interval {(0,1)} it behaves just like the previous one:

Lacunary series on (0,1)
Lacunary series on (0,1)

But there appears to be a little blip near {1}. Let’s zoom in:

Lacunary series near 1
… near 1

And zoom in more:

... and very near 1
… and very near 1

Still there.

This function was considered by Hardy in 1907 paper Theorems concerning infinite series. On pages 92–93 he shows that it “oscillates between finite limits of indetermination for {x=1}“. There is also a footnote: “The simple proof given above was shown to be by Mr. J. H. Maclagan-Wedderburn. I had originally obtained the result by means of a contour integral.”

Okay, but what are these “finite limits of indetermination”? The Alternating Series Estimation shows {0<f(x)<1} for {x\in (0,1)}, but the above plots suggest that {f} oscillates between much tighter bounds. Let’s call them {A= \liminf_{x\rightarrow 1-} f(x)} and {B=\limsup_{x\rightarrow 1-} f(x)}.

Since {f(x)+f(x^2)\equiv x^2}, it follows that {f(x)+f(x^2)\rightarrow 1} as {x\rightarrow 1^-}. Hence, {B = \limsup_{x\rightarrow 1-}(1-f(x^2)) = 1-A}. In other words, {A} and {B} are symmetric about {1/2}. But what are they?

I don’t have an answer, but here is a simple estimate. Let {g(x)=x-x^2} and observe that

\displaystyle    f(x) = g(x) + g(x^4)+g(x^{16}) + g(x^{64})+\dots \qquad \qquad (1)

The function {g} is not hard to understand: its graph is a parabola.

Yes, a parabola
Yes, a parabola

Since {g} is positive on {(0,1)}, any of the terms in the sum (1) gives a lower bound for {f}. Each individual term is useless for this purpose, since it vanishes at {1}. But we can pick {n} in {g(x^{4^n})} depending on {x}.

Let {x_0\in(0,1)} be the unique solution of the equation {x_0^4=1-x_0}. It could be written down explicitly, but this is not a pleasant experience; numerically {x_0\approx 0.7245}. For every {x>x_0} there is an integer {n\ge 1} such that {x^{4^n}\in [1-x_0,x_0]}, namely the smallest integer such that {x^{4^n} \le x_0}. Hence,

\displaystyle f(x)> g(x^{4^n})\ge \min_{[x_0,1-x_0]}g = x_0-x_0^2>0.1996 \qquad \qquad (2)

which gives a nontrivial lower bound {A>0.1996} and symmetrically {B<0.8004}. Frustratingly, this falls just short of neat {1/5} and {4/5}.

One can do better than (2) by using more terms of the series (1). For example, study the polynomial {g(t)+g(t^4)} and find a suitable interval {[t_0^4,t_0]} on which its minimum is large (such an interval will no longer be symmetric). Or use {3,4,5...} consecutive terms of the series… which quickly gets boring. This approach gives arbitrarily close approximations to {A} and {B}, but does not tell us what these values really are.